Here's how I score the next election right now, off the top of my head. Since I haven't looked at polls in every state, this is sure to be highly inaccurate, so I'd appreciate any suggestions anybody has.
John F. Kerry (blue) wins 223 votes in AZ, CA, CO, DC, DE, HI, IL, ME, MD, MA, MI, NJ, NM, NY, VT, WA, and WI George W. Bush (orange) wins 137 votes in AL, AK, GA, LA, MS, NV, NH, NC, SC, TN, TX, VA, WV. The green states, totaling 178 votes, are too close (or I'm too ignorant) for me to call them: AR, CT, FL, ID, IN, IA, KS, KY, MN, MO, MT, NE, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SD, UT, WY.
Obviously, in addition to any mistakes I've already made, it's also true that much will probably change between now and November.